Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.045976 3.379591 3.740501 4.160920 4.638414 5.165260 5.792454
2025-04-27 2.602670 3.058929 3.587417 4.248609 5.058955 6.026458 7.279102
2025-05-04 2.319775 2.844678 3.484389 4.329307 5.427697 6.823546 8.757921
2025-05-11 2.103522 2.668110 3.384811 4.374122 5.724478 7.533015 10.189839
2025-05-18 1.931734 2.520798 3.294809 4.404408 5.984454 8.200803 11.631495
2025-05-25 1.739621 2.323282 3.112182 4.279125 6.000847 8.512609 12.579679
2025-06-01 1.603209 2.186844 2.996431 4.229221 6.109450 8.956170 13.768921
2025-06-08 1.493300 2.076621 2.905243 4.201334 6.240300 9.437362 15.070050
2025-06-15 1.445060 2.049772 2.930111 4.346073 6.647241 10.391986 17.288703
2025-06-22 1.360866 1.962466 2.856413 4.328472 6.787835 10.919671 18.828261
2025-06-29 1.279385 1.872808 2.771223 4.282889 6.873753 11.357869 20.258411
2025-07-06 1.167715 1.729166 2.591519 4.067019 6.646891 11.217794 20.556772
2025-07-13 1.112949 1.672402 2.547628 4.077668 6.822751 11.836843 22.478087
2025-07-20 1.077306 1.643533 2.546391 4.160506 7.135956 12.749355 25.158422
2025-07-27 1.043549 1.615132 2.543258 4.238679 7.447111 13.694351 28.073404
2025-08-03 1.006151 1.578032 2.522370 4.282279 7.695571 14.542976 30.923100
2025-08-10 0.969264 1.539255 2.495504 4.311793 7.918102 15.363763 33.857353
2025-08-17 0.910392 1.459585 2.392179 4.189609 7.823874 15.497275 35.128950
2025-08-24 0.867778 1.405421 2.330285 4.140935 7.874252 15.950675 37.293627
2025-08-31 0.831536 1.360295 2.281624 4.113736 7.966149 16.507276 39.836285
2025-09-07 0.822045 1.361685 2.317185 4.254900 8.431757 17.986577 45.220054
2025-09-14 0.791036 1.322776 2.275828 4.237735 8.548096 18.650021 48.418994
2025-09-21 0.758423 1.279246 2.223192 4.193279 8.598488 19.157882 51.264534